Florida - 22nd District
https://www.govtrack.us/congress/members/FL/22
58.9% for the Dem Rep. in 2016. 56% for Hillary.O Really wrote: ↑Sat Jul 07, 2018 10:07 amFlorida - 22nd District
https://www.govtrack.us/congress/members/FL/22
Do you have a favorite yet for governor?Vrede too wrote: ↑Sat Jul 07, 2018 6:09 amCurrent Governors
16 Democrats, Independent 1 (AK), Republicans 33
2018 Governor Races
19 Democrats, Republicans 26
Alaska Independent incumbent, Bill Walker, has a GOP opponent but RCP says the race “Leans Independent”.
4 Toss Ups, all currently GOP, FL: Open, MI: Open, NV: Open, OH: Open
Polling for Florida, whose Primary is August 28:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... orida.html
The race could get muddled by a Reform Party candidate and a couple of potential Independents.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Florida_g ... form_Party
Do you have a favorite yet, billy.pilgrim?
I don't really care as long as s/he's not a Republican, and I'll vote for whichever Dem is running. I may have mentioned that I had just become eligible to vote when Agnew ran for Governor of MD. Although I registered as a Dem (of course) and probably my parents didn't tell me that there was any other way to register anyway, but the Dem candidate that year was truly awful. A true segregationist (George Mahoney). So in my first opportunity to vote, I voted Republican as the lesser of two evils. Opps. Learned my lesson from that. Probably if I had it to do over again, I'd vote for Mahoney as he would actually have been the lesser of the two evils.
Looks like it's a competitive FL Gov. Dem primary. There may be a best candidate and/or most likely to win candidate. Don't be a Vox/Bungalow Bill.O Really wrote: ↑Sat Jul 07, 2018 10:45 amI don't really care as long as s/he's not a Republican, and I'll vote for whichever Dem is running. I may have mentioned that I had just become eligible to vote when Agnew ran for Governor of MD. Although I registered as a Dem (of course) and probably my parents didn't tell me that there was any other way to register anyway, but the Dem candidate that year was truly awful. A true segregationist (George Mahoney). So in my first opportunity to vote, I voted Republican as the lesser of two evils. Opps. Learned my lesson from that. Probably if I had it to do over again, I'd vote for Mahoney as he would actually have been the lesser of the two evils.
Are you forgetting 2000 and the difference it made and is still making to the world that Jeb was governor?O Really wrote: ↑Sat Jul 07, 2018 12:27 pmLooks like Levine has a leg up for now...
http://www.tampabay.com/florida-politic ... s-to-lose/
Anyway, I can be Vox/Buffalo if I want, because local and even state politics doesn't much matter/affect us. We're Florida residents, and will vote in state-wide and national elections, but other than that I don't have any dogs in the fight....
Are you forgetting 2000 and the difference it made and is still making to the world that Jeb was governor?
Trump picks Brett Kavanaugh for Supreme CourtVrede too wrote: ↑Thu Jun 28, 2018 10:32 amMaybe there are other Dem options, idk. I suppose it's also possible that some other Repug/s that's up for reelection will be polling poorly enough that s/he feels the need to oppose POSPOTUS. There's also Susan Collins (R-ME), Lindsey Graham (R-SC) - we're counting on you, JTA - and Lisa Murkowski (R-AK), in theory.
There's also the possibility, admittedly slim, that the threat of Dem action and/or moderate GOP hesitance will force Dolt .45 to nominate a more moderate justice than he might otherwise like.
However, Feinstein +18 or +22.California Democratic Party snubs Feinstein, endorses rival
The California Democratic Party snubbed U.S. Sen. Dianne Feinstein on Saturday by handing its official endorsement and a badly needed boost to state Sen. Kevin de Leon, her longshot Democratic challenger.
In backing de Leon, a majority of the party's 360-member executive board ignored Feinstein's calls to stay neutral in the race. Her allies had warned an endorsement would create an intraparty squabble that could detract from important down-ballot races.
De Leon has long been courting party activists and appealed to those seeking a fresh face and a more progressive senator to fight against President Donald Trump.
"Today's vote is a clear-eyed rejection of politics as usual in Washington, D.C.," de Leon said in a statement after the vote. "We have presented Californians with the first real alternative to the worn-out Washington playbook in a quarter-century."
A total of 217 delegates voted for de Leon, of Los Angeles, while 22 cast ballots for Feinstein and 94 voted for no endorsement.
Party members and activists are typically more liberal than the wider California electorate that has sent Feinstein to Washington five times. Feinstein has turned skepticism from some party activists into an asset in her past campaigns.
The endorsement of de Leon means the state party will spend money promoting his candidacy this fall.
Still, Feinstein outpaces him in name recognition and cash and has a loyal following across California. She won the June 5 primary with 44 percent of the vote compared to de Leon's 12 percent....
California runs a top-two primary system that sends the two highest primary vote-getters to the general election regardless of party. The system allowed de Leon to take the No. 2 spot by squeaking past a slew of unknown Republicans in the primary....
De Leon led the state Senate until earlier this year. He is the author of California's sanctuary state law that was the target of a Trump administration lawsuit. A judge dismissed the case....
There will be some serious get out the vote work in Georgia - on both sidesVrede too wrote: ↑Fri Aug 03, 2018 11:13 amGeorgia Governor - Kemp (white male R) vs. Abrams (black female D)
RCP Average: Tie
Whoa.
Part of the "blue wave" theory is that Dems are energized and con independents are disappointed with POSPOTUS and the Repugs. If she can also inspire high black turnout like Obama did . . .billy.pilgrim wrote: ↑Fri Aug 03, 2018 7:11 pmThere will be some serious get out the vote work in Georgia - on both sides
60% white
30% black
She only needs a little more than a 1/3 of the white vote.
I'm thinking about independents, those infamous suburban moms, etc. I assume that Trumpettes are hopeless and will remain that way, though maybe some could become despondent enough to stay home.billy.pilgrim wrote: ↑Sat Aug 04, 2018 6:56 am... Of all the deep south states, Georgia may have the best shot at making right-wing heads explode by electing a black women. A large black population, plus Atlanta with its huge number of non-southern transplants may be enough to counter the rednecks to the north and to the south.
And, as you said, there is Muller. But for his investigation to make a difference trump's followers (birthers, pizzagaters and these Q idiots) will have to believe the results.
Vrede too wrote: ↑Sat Aug 04, 2018 7:23 amI'm thinking about independents, those infamous suburban moms, etc. I assume that Trumpettes are hopeless and will remain that way, though maybe some could become despondent enough to stay home.billy.pilgrim wrote: ↑Sat Aug 04, 2018 6:56 am... Of all the deep south states, Georgia may have the best shot at making right-wing heads explode by electing a black women. A large black population, plus Atlanta with its huge number of non-southern transplants may be enough to counter the rednecks to the north and to the south.
And, as you said, there is Muller. But for his investigation to make a difference trump's followers (birthers, pizzagaters and these Q idiots) will have to believe the results.
I'm not making predictions. It feels like close races have always broken against my wishes, but it may just be that relief is less impactful than horror.billy.pilgrim wrote: ↑Sat Aug 04, 2018 9:24 amI agree about white suburban moms reacting against trump - especially around Atlanta and a few college towns, but the rest of the state not so much.
Could be that Atlanta (hotlanta as we called it growing up) is becoming to mostly rural Georgia, what NYC is to mostly rural, largely conservative NY.
That it is, that it is.Vrede too wrote: ↑Sat Aug 04, 2018 10:23 amI'm not making predictions. It feels like close races have always broken against my wishes, but it may just be that relief is less impactful than horror.billy.pilgrim wrote: ↑Sat Aug 04, 2018 9:24 amI agree about white suburban moms reacting against trump - especially around Atlanta and a few college towns, but the rest of the state not so much.
Could be that Atlanta (hotlanta as we called it growing up) is becoming to mostly rural Georgia, what NYC is to mostly rural, largely conservative NY.