I don't think that they have a clue about nicole. Models show it going in every direction, some due south with a turn in 2 days due north.
Matthew could get to seth if it comes across florida. I remember all the talkers saying that Wilma was over after SW fla landfall.
Nobody listeed but I kept saying that the warn everglades could cause it to strengthen - I was right. Matthew could be the same in reverse. If it passes to the south of Florida seth will be fine
Trump: “We had the safest border in the history of our country - or at least recorded history. I guess maybe a thousand years ago it was even better.”
Our top two hurricane track models—the GFS and European—continue to show high pressure building in to the north of Matthew this weekend, blocking the hurricane’s forward path. Matthew is expected to loop back towards the south and southwest, potentially reaching The Bahamas by Tuesday. Along the way, though, Matthew may draw close enough to Hurricane Nicole to force the two storms to rotate around a common center—something known as the Fujiwhara effect. This behavior can occur when two storms get within 800 miles of each other. This potential interaction with Nicole on Sunday and Monday makes the 3 - 5 day forecast for Matthew’s track of higher uncertainty than usual-though if anything, it is most likely to reinforce the expected northward track of Nicole and southward track of Matthew....
I'm off in the a.m. to Goldsboro, NC to do Matthew flooding relief work for at least a week. Not sure what my web access and free time situation will be.
Vrede too wrote:I'm off in the a.m. to Goldsboro, NC to do Matthew flooding relief work for at least a week. Not sure what my web access and free time situation will be.
You're welcome & thanks. I should be fine, I don't do search and rescue. Likely an already established shelter for mostly hospice patients - sucks to be uprooted at the end of life - but that could change.
"I guess some of the staff was able to stay, and some of the other positions were covered by folks geographically closer.
We're asked to remain on standby through the week. As the waters continue to rise, they're expecting multiple additional deployments through the week."