The Global Warming thread.

[Vrede too]

TV news: Extreme heat costs the US $1B/yr in healthcare costs.

Me: Yet another indirect subsidy for Big Oil and King Coal. This is on top of the costs for fires, floods, storms, sea level rise, pollution, etc. Bastards.

FOX news: Extreme heat is a Job Creator

More job creation:

1 million Florida buildings will be overrun by sea-level rise by 2100, study shows

Thank you for the economy, Ron, Don and Exxon.

[Vrede too]

How Hot Is the Sea Off Florida Right Now? Think 90s Fahrenheit.

... The biggest concern for coral isn’t just the current sea surface temperatures in the Florida Keys, even though they are the hottest on record. The daily average surface temperature off the Keys on Monday was just over 90 degrees Fahrenheit (32.4 Celsius), according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

The real worry, scientists say, is that it’s only July. Corals typically experience the most heat stress in August and September.

“We’re entering uncharted territories,” said Derek Manzello, an ecologist and the coordinator of NOAA’s Coral Reef Watch program....

Crap.

[Vrede too]

California and Arizona brace for 'historic' heat wave with possible temperatures over 120°F

... The National Weather Service also issued an excessive heat warning for Phoenix through Sunday, with temperatures forecast to reach 118°F on Saturday, still a few degrees below the all-time record of 122°F.

"Widespread areas of Major Heat Risk will increase to Extreme levels this weekend," the NWS forecast office in Phoenix said in a statement.

Temperatures in the city have already topped 110°F for the last 12 consecutive days, nearing its all-time record of 18 consecutive days over 110°F, which was set in 1974. In the early morning hours Wednesday, Phoenix did break a notable record, when the all-time low temperature registered on July 12 only fell to 94°F.

Temperature records are also expected to fall in Reno, Nev., and Las Vegas is forecast to reach a blistering 117°F this weekend, which would tie the city's all-time record....

More evidence of climate change

Caused by a surge of high pressure that traps ocean heat over land, the latest heat dome comes as the National Weather Service has issued heat alerts for 108 million Americans and the Earth recorded its warmest week and its hottest June in recorded history. Pulling back the lens, with the June figures, the planet recorded its 532nd consecutive month of above-average temperatures. An ocean heat wave now spans the globe, sending water temperatures in the Florida Keys to an unprecedented 97°F, and Canadian wildfires, made worse by record-breaking temperatures, continue to burn out of control.

While skeptics counter that summers are always hot, the fact is they are getting hotter and countless studies have shown that those higher temperatures are having a wide array of disruptive consequences, such as the historic flash flooding in New York and Vermont this week and record low Antarctic sea ice.



... Health risks



... A study released this week concluded that the 2022 heat wave in Europe, which occurred during the continent's hottest summer on record, killed 61,000 people.

According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, more than 250 Americans and over 400 Canadians died in the 2021 heat dome in the Pacific Northwest that shattered all-time temperature records.

Yikes.

News Poll
Do you believe climate change is an urgent crisis?
Yes, I believe so 49%, including me
Maybe, I'm not sure 11%
No, I don't believe so 38%
Other / No opinion 2%
Based on 792 responses.

Only 49%???!!!

[Vrede too]

US Republicans oppose climate funding as millions suffer in extreme weather
Nearly 90 million Americans are facing heat alerts this week, yet GOP members are wrangling over spending to reduce emissions

These assholes are genocidal terrorists.

[Vrede too]

After a coolish Spring we're in the midst of a long stretch of 80s during the day 60s at night, rain or shine. Not so unusual for Summer here except perhaps for how sustained it's been.

Now a month. We had one rainy day last week where the high dipped to 79, that's it. The lows have stayed in the 60s throughout.

Severe heat forecast: Where scorching temperatures will persist over the next week
Dangerous heat will continue to plague a large portion of the U.S.

... Heat advisories and warnings were issued for 40 million Americans across 10 states on Sunday, with the highest temperatures concentrated in places like California, Nevada, Arizona and Utah.

Excessive heat warnings are currently in effect for cities like Las Vegas; Salt Lake City; Fresno, California; and Tucson, Arizona, where record stretches of dangerous temperatures are expected to continue for several days.

While heat alerts have been lifted in much of the Southeast, some remain in southeastern Texas and South Florida. It will still be hot elsewhere in the Southeast.

Record-setting temperatures plaguing the planet

The last 20 days on Earth have been the hottest 20 days on record, meteorology records show. The hottest day ever recorded in the northern hemisphere was measured on Saturday, when average temperatures reached 22.46 degrees Celsius -- or about 72.43 degrees Fahrenheit. The previous record, 22.18 degrees Celsius -- about 71.92 degrees Fahrenheit -- was set in summer 2022.

Several places in the U.S. broke records on Saturday as well. Palm Springs, California, hit 115 degrees on Saturday, breaking its record for consecutive days of 115 degrees, now nine days in a row. Temperatures are expected to drop closer to 110 degrees by Monday and through the week.

I hiked a little in Palm Springs one year. It was searing and unbearable. I bailed out and went indoors. It was probably "only" in the 90s.

Phoenix broke a daily record on Saturday with a high of 118 degrees, continuing its record stretch with 23 consecutive days with temperatures at or above 110 degrees and six days in a row with temperatures at 115 degrees or higher. Sunday morning also continued the city's record stretch of 14 consecutive days of not dropping below 90 degrees.

I would be making plans to move.

When Las Vegas reached 115 degrees on Saturday, it broke a record set in 1937 at 114 degrees, extending its streak to nine days in a row at or above 110 degrees. The record for consecutive days above 110 degrees could be broken on Monday.

I considered moving to Las Vegas at one point. Phew, dodged that bullet.

Tucson, Arizona, hit a daily record of 111 degrees on Saturday, shattering the record set in 2006 at 108 degrees. The city is now at eight days in a row at 110 degrees or above, tying with the record set in 2021. Tucson is also extending the record for the total number of non-consecutive days at 110 degrees or above, now at 14 days this year. The previous records were set in 1990 and 1994, at 10 days.

Damn, I liked my Tucson visit.

In El Paso, Texas, the record-smashing consecutive days of 100 degrees or higher is currently at 37 days, with no end in sight in the foreseeable future. The previous record was set in 1994, at 23 consecutive days.

On the East Coast, Miami has now had a heat index of 100 degrees or higher for a record 42 consecutive days, 10 days over the previous record of 32 set in 2020.

Alaska is also feeling the heat. The National Weather Service in Caribou is predicting the region's hottest month ever (of any month) for this July, with records going back to 1939....

Temperatures are expected to skyrocket in the 90s and 100s in places like Fargo, North Dakota; Lincoln, Nebraska; Kansas City, Missouri and Minneapolis this week. Some regions will experience heat indices of 105 degrees or more.

The heat will continue to blanket much of the U.S. through the end of July and into August, especially in the South....

Then, there's Europe, particularly burning Greece. The planet is screwed.

[O Really]

Several years ago, I did some work for the Gila River Tribe and also the city of Eloy AZ. During on trip out there it got up to 111, and was 95 in the morning on the way to breakfast. Wasn't really as bad as it sounds, but that was only a few days. The dryness and dust seemed worse to me than the heat. Can't imagine living in that for an extended period of time.

[Vrede too]

'100% coral mortality' found at Florida Keys reef due to rising temperatures, restoration group says

TV news: Key Largo ocean temp > 100F, which would be a global ocean record if confirmed.



Local: 18 out of 25 July days have been above average.
Note: "average" is usually based on the previous 10 years, which is already an elevated data set due to AGW.
90s Thurs and Fri.

[billy.pilgrim]

101° water temp recorded in the Gulf

[GoCubsGo]

Ummm, say what?

Bit of a misleading headline, but still.


Gulf Stream current could collapse in 2025, plunging Earth into climate chaos: 'We were actually bewildered'

[GoCubsGo]

Other news reports.

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/26/climate ... lapse.html

https://news.yahoo.com/crucial-system-o ... p_catchall

https://news.yahoo.com/atlantic-ocean-c ... p_catchall

[Vrede too]

101° water temp recorded in the Gulf

Florida Everglades water temperatures reach hot-tub levels

... Monday's reading could set a world record. However, it's hard to verify a world sea surface temperature record because of how these temperatures are monitored around the globe....


The water quality station at Manatee Bay in Everglades National Park had a sea surface temperature reading of 101.1 on July 24, 2023.

... The hot water has coral biologists bracing for a large-scale coral bleaching event.

... Normal water temperatures for the area this time of year should be between 73F and 88F (23C and 31C), according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (Noaa)....

“We didn’t expect this heating to happen so early in the year and to be so extreme,” Derek Manzello, with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Coral Reef Watch, told CNN last week. “This appears to be unprecedented in our records.”

Heatwaves are increasingly affecting the world’s oceans, destroying kelp, seagrass and corals and killing swathes of sea-life like “wildfires that take out huge areas of forest”. Research in 2019 found that the number of ocean heatwave days had tripled in recent years.

A 2021 heatdome likely killed more than 1 billion marine animals along Canada’s Pacific, experts have said....

Other news reports.

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/26/climate ... lapse.html

https://news.yahoo.com/crucial-system-o ... 55175.html

https://news.yahoo.com/atlantic-ocean-c ... 09050.html

Yeah, pretty dire even if "2025" is the earliest in a 70 year predicted range. Crap, I didn't expect to outlive the climate catastrophe.

[Vrede too]

The ‘world’s coldest village’ just experienced the highest temperature it’s ever recorded: ‘A particularly acute threat’

A heat wave roasted the Russian village of Oymyakon, bringing record temperatures to “the world’s coldest permanently inhabited settlement,” the Russian news outlet RT reported in July.

Wildfires also torched the Siberian Yakutia region, also known as Sakha Republic, where Oymyakon is located.

What happened?

Based on local reports, the temperature in Oymyakon reached 89.6 degrees Fahrenheit on July 3, exceeding the record set in 1949 by 2.7 degrees.

Aisen Nikolaev, head of Sakha Republic, declared a state of emergency as wildfires intensified. The Oymyakon district was among the areas most affected, Nikolaev said on his (non-English) Telegram channel....

Crap.

[O Really]

"Canada warming twice as fast as rest of planet, Western University environment expert says"

https://london.ctvnews.ca/canada-warmin ... matechange

[Vrede too]

"Canada warming twice as fast as rest of planet, Western University environment expert says"

https://london.ctvnews.ca/canada-warmin ... -1.6500174

Crap. Hence fires.

Forecast calls for 108? Phoenix will take it, as record-breaking heat expected to end

A hellish and historic 31-day run of temperatures cracking 110 degrees (43 degrees Celsius) in Phoenix appeared headed for a welcome end on Monday, as monsoon rains moved through the region from Mexico.

The relief wasn't all that great — the day's highs were forecast near 108 degrees, or about 42 Celsius — and the heat was expected to rise past 110 again later in the week. But residents and visitors were taking what they could get....

High heat blasted much of the Southwest all through July, ranging from West Texas to eastern California. But Phoenix and its suburbs sweltered to new records, including three days where the high reached 119, and overnight lows stayed above 90 more than half the month....

Health officials have so far confirmed 25 heat-related deaths in Maricopa County, Arizona’s most populous and home to Phoenix, in July, although that number seems certain to rise. Another 249 deaths are under investigation for links to heat....

Phoenix’s previous record for days of 110 degrees or more was 18 straight, set in 1974, nearly two weeks shorter than the new record.

Hirsch said July 2023 was the city’s hottest month on record. The previous hottest month on record was August 2020.

And August could be even hotter than July, Hirsch said. He said there is a slightly higher chance of temperatures that are above normal in August and there's an equal chance for the region to get more or less rain than average....

Comment:

When you're thankful for 108, it's time to move.

[Vrede too]

The Phoenix respite from 110+ lasted only 2 days, now likely to stay that hot for 10 days or more. Ugh.

[Vrede too]

The world inches closer to feared global warming 'tipping points': 5 disastrous scenarios

... Melting ice sheets could overwhelm the oceans ...

Critical Atlantic ocean currents could stall, reshape climate in US and Europe ...

The Amazon rainforest could wither ...

Wildfires could reshape Alaska and Canada, turning forests into grassland ...

World's coral reefs could be cooked by the ocean ...

Virtually any action is acceptable, including property destruction and violence, IF it contributes to positive change.

[GoCubsGo]

Much like the European protesters who sit in the road and stop traffic I don't have a ton of sympathy for these guys.

There's ways, but these aren't it and someone is going to be badly hurt.



I seem to recall a guy urgently trying to get to a hospital in Germany? and these guys wouldn't move. Him and a woman just started wailing on them.

[Vrede too]

Much like the European protesters who sit in the road and stop traffic I don't have a ton of sympathy for these guys.

There's ways, but these aren't it and someone is going to be badly hurt.

https://twitter.com/ClimateDefiance/sta ... 3134486528

I have mixed feelings on the effectiveness of the tactic, but the targets are very appropriate.
2023 Mubadala Citi DC Open
Mubadala Investment Company, United Arab Emirates, formerly called the International Petroleum Investment Company.
Citigroup
Claims to have a responsible climate policy. The reality is certainly sketchier.

Their strategy explained:

Climate Defiance

[Vrede too]

Spoiler:

No one ever really imagined panel #1.

[Vrede too]

A ‘once every 7.5 million years’ event is currently unfolding in Antarctica: ‘To say unprecedented isn’t strong enough’

In the past eight years, sea ice in Antarctica has reached a new record low four times, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) reports. The first three times, ice levels that have dropped in the summer have rebounded in the winter.

But this year — during what is currently winter in Antarctica — scientists have confirmed that the ice is not re-forming, leaving long stretches of the Antarctic coastline bare.

What’s happening?

According to physical oceanographer Edward Doddridge, this is the first time an event like this has been observed, the ABC reports — and it’s extremely unlikely to have happened on its own.

“To say unprecedented isn’t strong enough,” Doddridge told the ABC. “This is a five-sigma event...."

"five-sigma event" = SSSSShit.

Why does the loss of Antarctic ice matter?

Polar ice is a major factor in the Earth’s “albedo,” which is the amount of light reflected from the surface instead of being absorbed. When there’s more ice, the planet’s albedo is higher, and the sun doesn’t warm it as quickly. When ice melts, the planet starts absorbing more heat.

This also creates “ice-albedo feedback,” the ABC says — a vicious cycle in which melting ice makes the ocean heat up faster, causing even more ice to melt. If too much of the polar ice is lost, it could reach a tipping point that will lead to the Earth heating up much more quickly.

Petra Heil, a sea ice physicist from the Australian Antarctic Division, told the ABC, “We might end up in a new state. That would be quite concerning to the sustainability of human conditions on Earth, I suspect.”

A much hotter environment has frightening implications for human health. It could also destroy the fish we rely on for food, the farmland where we grow crops, and the rainforests we need for oxygen....

SSSSShit!