2024 Elections

[Vrede too]

Another flake bites the dust.
Independent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona says she won’t seek reelection, avoiding 3-way race

Kari Lake will get shamed even worse this time.

[GoCubsGo]

Unsurprisingly, trump is leading across the board but I find the margins interesting.

It's early, but Nikki Heat is actually performing better than polls indicated in NC and VA.

[Vrede too]

Scroll past if you don't care how I voted. I'm listing all races so I can score it like college football Sat.

The GQP ballot was almost twice as long. Much of this is due to races where only one Dem ran. They get an auto-bye and don't even appear on the ballot. AFAIK there was only one contest with no Dem at all, and I'm not even positive about that one. So, I did grab a GQP ballot and in most races picked the worst in order to give the Dem the best chance in this GQP wasteland.

President
I considered Chris Christie but knew that his votes will just appear as 'Others".
I was thinking 'No Preference' would get listed and be an insult to Dolt .45, however a Dem outside the poll convinced me that votes for Nikki Heat will piss off TRE45QN the most. Okay, Nikki Heat it was.

US House of Representatives District 11
Caleb Rudow is the Nov Dem
Not incumbent Chuck Edwards, so Christian Reagan got my vote without my even bothering to look him up.

Governor
Current Lt Governor Mark Robinson is a total wingnut, should be easy to beat in Nov. I voted for him and TV is now saying he won the nomination.
Dem AG Josh Stein is leading, as expected.

Lieutenant Governor
Peter Boykin organized a "Gays for Trump" chapter. Can't win in Nov, but it sure would be a fun campaign.

Auditor
Anthony Wayne (Tony) Street has a lame campaign, no web site and doesn't know that "(Tony)" goes after "Anthony" not "Wayne". Perfect.

Commissioner of Agriculture
Colby (Bear) Hammonds - cattleman, military career, weak website.

Commissioner of Insurance
Mike Causey is the incumbent, but the GQP hates him. Might be okay if he's reelected, or the GQP may hate him enough to stay home and get the Dem elected. Win-win.

Commissioner of Labor
Luke Farley is a christofascist wingnut.

Secretary of State
Chad Brown is the only White male. I figured the others might steal some Dem or Indy voters. Superficial, I know, but I left the research to the last minute, literally. I voted after 5 pm.

Superintendent of Public Instruction
Michele Morrow, another christofascist. They're more out of the closet these days

Treasurer
A. J. Daoud - minimalist website, lazy campaigner?

Court of Appeals Judge Seat 15
Hunter Murphy - incumbent who was censured in 2020 for contributing to a toxic work environment. He's got a strong primary opponent. If the Dem can't beat Murphy, shame on her/him.

Henderson County Board of Commissioners District 2
Sheila Franklin is not the very con incumbent. So, she won't have the incumbent edge in Nov, or she'll be better if she wins in Nov. Win-win. Plus, the Dem at the poll says the incumbent sucks and needs to be beaten, now or in Nov.

Henderson County Board of Commissioners District 5
I could not find that there's a Dem running.
Jay Egolf is an auto sales baron , but touts smart planning.
David H. Hill, the incumbent, boasts about being "Fiscally and Socially Conservative" and opposes development restrictions
Plus, the Dem at the poll says Hill sucks and needs to be beaten. Egolf got my vote.

Henderson County Board of Education
I have no idea why this is partisan, but it's a bad thing for Dems.
There are 4 seats being run for and the Dems put up 4.
The RepuQs have 6 running. I voted for 3 rather than 4:
Tae Brown - Black, young
Kathy Revis, 66, an adjunct professor at Gardner-Webb University
Michael Absher, 34, CEO of Only Hope WNC - Homelessness Resources
Too complex to manipulate.

[O Really]

Scroll past if you don't care how I voted. I'm listing all races so I can score it like college football Sat.

Hopefully you use a different picking plan than you use for March Madness.

[Vrede too]

Scroll past if you don't care how I voted. I'm listing all races so I can score it like college football Sat.

Hopefully you use a different picking plan than you use for March Madness.

Nah, same-same, pick the worst and cross my fingers

[Vrede too]

Unsurprisingly, trump is leading across the board but I find the margins interesting.

It's early, but Nikki Heat is actually performing better than polls indicated in NC and VA.

Nope, 75-22 here, which I believe was predicted.
https://wlos.com/news/election-results

86% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING
Donald Trump (R) 700,737 75%
Nikki Haley (R) 210,686 22%
No Preference (R) 6,350 1%

Nikki Heat is barely winning Vermont, though.

[Vrede too]

To: North Carolina State Board of Elections (NCSBE)
elections.sboe@ncsbe.gov
Subject: Complaint

Hi,

If this is the wrong office to submit this complaint to, please direct me to the correct one.

On Monday March 4, 2024 I received a robocall from Republican Commissioner of Labor candidate Jon Hardister - his actual voice. The caller ID read "Happy Tails Vet". I would have let the call go to voice mail otherwise. This is a veterinary hospital in Apex, NC.
https://www.happytailsveterinaryhospital.com/

1. Political robocalls ought to be illegal in NC.
2. If he spoofed the caller ID, that ought to be illegal in NC.
3. If the caller ID was legit, isn't it an illegal in-kind corporate donation?

Thank you for your attention and response.

Sincerely,
(Vrede too)

It didn't work:
https://wlos.com/news/election-results

N.C. Labor Commissioner (Rep)
77% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING

Luke Farley (R) 270,297 37%
Jon Hardister (R) 203,128 28%
Chuck Stanley (R) 162,541 22%
Travis Wilson (R) 100,115 14%

LOSER. I voted for Luke Farley bc he is a christofascist wingnut. I hope that doesn't backfire.

[GoCubsGo]

Score one for Shifty.

[O Really]

Score one for Shifty.

Yeah, but with that margin, Katie was going down anyway. Her issues just didn't resonate with many people and a lot of people north of LA probably never heard of her until the campaign.

[GoCubsGo]

Score one for Shifty.

Yeah, but with that margin, Katie was going down anyway. Her issues just didn't resonate with many people and a lot of people north of LA probably never heard of her until the campaign.

That was a pretty early number, looks a little tighter but not enough to really matter.

All his time on the national and media stage sealed the deal. I'm ok with him.

[GoCubsGo]

So long Nikki Heat.

It's been a little bit of fun.

[GoCubsGo]

She's not wrong.

[Vrede too]

Scroll past if you don't care how I voted. I'm listing all races so I can score it like college football Sat.

The GQP ballot was almost twice as long. Much of this is due to races where only one Dem ran. They get an auto-bye and don't even appear on the ballot. AFAIK there was only one contest with no Dem at all, and I'm not even positive about that one. So, I did grab a GQP ballot and in most races picked the worst in order to give the Dem the best chance in this GQP wasteland.

President
I considered Chris Christie but knew that his votes will just appear as 'Others'.
I was thinking 'No Preference' would get listed and be an insult to Dolt .45, however a Dem outside the poll convinced me that votes for Nikki Heat will piss off TRE45QN the most. Okay, Nikki Heat it was.

N.C. Presidential Primary (Rep)
99% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING

> Donald Trump (R) 790,750 74%
Nikki Haley (R) 249,651 23%
No Preference (R) 7,386 1%

The Dem outside the poll was correct, voting for Nikki Heat was the better anti-Dolt .45 choice. No Preference only got 1% and 'Others' doesn't even get shown.

TV news says that 79% of NC Nikki Heat voters will not vote for TRE45QN in Nov

N.C. Presidential Primary (Dem)
98% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING

> Joe Biden (D) 606,302 87%
No Preference (D) 88,021 13%

Once again Biden's margin is larger than ex-PINO's Not as many voted in the Dem primary - typically a bad sign, but may only reflect that the GQP ballot was more interesting

US House of Representatives District 11
Caleb Rudow is the Nov Dem
Not incumbent Chuck Edwards, so Christian Reagan got my vote without my even bothering to look him up.

U.S. House of Representatives District 11 (Rep)
87% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING

> Chuck Edwards (R) 66,475 69%
Christian Reagan (R) 30,002 31%

Nice that so many voted against Edwards. Still a long shot for Rudow in Nov, though

Governor
Current Lt Governor Mark Robinson is a total wingnut, should be easy to beat in Nov. I voted for him and TV is now saying he won the nomination.
Dem AG Josh Stein is leading, as expected.

North Carolina Governor (Rep)
99% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING

> Mark Robinson (R) 663,917 65%
Dale Folwell (R) 196,108 19%
Bill Graham (R) 163,757 16%

Cool, Robinson really is a flake and in any sane world should be easy to beat. I'm surprised that Graham came in 3rd despite spending a ton on TV ads.

North Carolina Governor (Dem)
96% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING

> Josh Stein (D) 476,448 70%
Michael Morgan (D) 97,908 14%
Chrelle Booker (D) 45,695 7%
Marcus Williams (D) 38,996 6%
Gary Foxx (D) 25,100 4%

Nice margin in a crowded field! GoJoshGo!

Transpose just two letters in the loser's name and you get 'Gray Foxx'

Lieutenant Governor
Peter Boykin organized a "Gays for Trump" chapter. Can't win in Nov, but it sure would be a fun campaign.
Peter Boykin (R) only got 3% The RepuQ leader in a very crowded field is Hal Weatherman with 20%, a 4 point margin. Yep, 50 years after the 1970s and NC may elect a Weatherman to high office Still only 91% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING and I think we do runoffs, anyhow.

Auditor
Anthony Wayne (Tony) Street has a lame campaign, no web site and doesn't know that "(Tony)" goes after "Anthony" not "Wayne". Perfect.
Anthony Street (R) only got 11%, well behind the top 2

Commissioner of Agriculture
Colby (Bear) Hammonds - cattleman, military career, weak website.

N.C. Agriculture Commissioner (Rep)
89% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING

> Steve Troxler (R) 642,436 69%
Colby Hammonds (R) 286,856 31%

Oh well, I tried.

Commissioner of Insurance
Mike Causey is the incumbent, but the GQP hates him. Might be okay if he's reelected, or the GQP may hate him enough to stay home and get the Dem elected. Win-win.

N.C. Insurance Commissioner (Rep)
88% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING

> Mike Causey (R) 533,900 61%
Andrew Marcus (R) 193,043 22%
C. Robert Brawley (R) 154,181 17%

Haha, suck on that, GQP.

Commissioner of Labor
Luke Farley is a christofascist wingnut.

N.C. Labor Commissioner (Rep)
89% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING

> Luke Farley (R) 314,107 37%
Jon Hardister (R) 238,715 28%
Chuck Stanley (R) 183,701 22%
Travis Wilson (R) 114,081 13%

MAYBE there's no runoff in NC with a 30%+ plurality. Farley will be the easiest to beat, IMO. Hope it doesn't backfire.

Secretary of State
Chad Brown is the only White male. I figured the others might steal some Dem or Indy voters. Superficial, I know, but I left the research to the last minute, literally. I voted after 5 pm.

N.C. Secretary of State (Rep)
89% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING

> Chad Brown (R) 371,806 43%
Christine Villaverde (R) 257,412 30%
Jesse Thomas (R) 229,755 27%

Okay then. Hope it doesn't backfire.

Superintendent of Public Instruction
Michele Morrow, another christofascist. They're more out of the closet these days

N.C. Superintendent of Education (Rep)
91% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING

Michele Morrow (R) 455,295 52%
Catherine Truitt (R) 418,575 48%

Not over yet. I influenced a squeaker for better or worse.

Treasurer
A. J. Daoud - minimalist website, lazy campaigner?

N.C. Treasurer (Rep)
90% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING

> Brad Briner (R) 344,746 40%
Rachel Johnson (R) 297,873 35%
A.J. Daoud (R) 220,547 26%

Oh well.

Court of Appeals Judge Seat 15
Hunter Murphy - incumbent who was censured in 2020 by SCONC for contributing to a toxic work environment. He's got a strong primary opponent. If the Dem can't beat Murphy, shame on her/him.

N.C. Appeals Court Seat 15 (Rep)
89% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING

> Chris Freeman (R) 530,594 63%
Hunter Murphy (R) 316,469 37%

Oh well. Freeman has a strong resume', District Court Judge and Assistant District Attorney. He may be tough to beat.

Henderson County Board of Commissioners District 2
Sheila Franklin is not the very con incumbent. So, she won't have the incumbent edge in Nov, or she'll be better if she wins in Nov. Win-win. Plus, the Dem at the poll says the incumbent sucks and needs to be beaten, now or in Nov.

Henderson County Board of Commissioners District 2 (Rep)
100% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING

Sheila Franklin (R) 11,709 64%
Daniel Andreotta (R / Inc.) 6,575 36%

Sweet, I'm happy to be part of that.

Henderson County Board of Commissioners District 5
I could not find that there's a Dem running.
Jay Egolf is an auto sales baron , but touts smart planning.
David H. Hill, the incumbent, boasts about being "Fiscally and Socially Conservative" and opposes development restrictions
Plus, the Dem at the poll says Hill sucks and needs to be beaten. Egolf got my vote.

Henderson County Board of Commissioners District 5 (Rep)
100% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING

Jay Egolf (R) 11,035 58%
David Hill (R / Inc.) 8,077 42%

Nice, another ousting of a bad incumbent.

Henderson County Board of Education
I have no idea why this is partisan, but it's a bad thing for Dems.
There are 4 seats being run for and the Dems put up 4.
The RepuQs have 6 running. I voted for 3 rather than 4:
Tae Brown - Black, young
Kathy Revis, 66, an adjunct professor at Gardner-Webb University
Michael Absher, 34, CEO of Only Hope WNC - Homelessness Resources
Too complex to manipulate.
Only one of my picks advances, Kathy Revis No idea what this will mean vs the Dems in Nov. It's such a red county that the Dems will probably get swept by GQP-slate voters

I didn't do that bad overall

[Vrede too]

She won Vermont 50-46! Whether TRE45QN wins or loses in Nov, VT GOP voters will be able to say, "We told you so!"

She's not wrong.

https://twitter.com/JoJoFromJerz/status ... 7535775789

The full post:

Jo
@JoJoFromJerz

When Nikki Haley drops out of the race today, the speculation is that she won’t overtly endorse Trump, but that she’ll encourage him to “earn” the support of her voters.
What I suspect that looks like, is her appearing with him at events, and going on tv saying things like “they have to “come together as a party blah blah”, and if she does that, it’s the same as an endorsement. And after everything she’s said about him at this point, it would be truly f^cking pathetic.
Although completely unsurprising.
We shall see.

It would indeed "be truly fucking pathetic." I hope Jo is wrong about what Nikki Heat does, though I suppose that hoping she becomes a vocal Never Trumper is too much to ask.

I can't stand Nikki Heat's policies, but I am happy an Asian woman got as far as she did in the GQP primaries. Progress?

[GoCubsGo]

Once again Biden's margin is larger than ex-PINO's Not as many voted in the Dem primary - typically a bad sign, but may only reflect that the GQP ballot was more interesting

NC is supposedly purple in 2024 with Biden actively targeting it.

Guessing cross voters such as yourself account for a lower turnout.

[O Really]

Progress?

That would be "no."
Take her exact act, personality, age and background and put it on a white male and if he started early enough in the campaign he'd have had a chance. None of the others in the clown car offered (or even pretended to offer) an attractive Trump alternative.

DeSantis: "I'm just like Trump only more cruel and with stupid issues"
Viviswarmy: "I'm just like Trump except some kind of rich Indian"
Christie: "I'm not like Trump, but I'm obese, obnoxious, and have lost so many elections nobody wants to listen to me."
Uncle Tom Scott: "I'm just like Trump, and love Trump but I'm ummm, Black."
Others: "Don't mind us, we're just here so we can tell our grandkids we ran for President."

[Vrede too]

Ex-PINO did the worst after VT in Utah, just 58%
Alabama - 83%!
Alaska - 88%! The most in any state
California - 77.5%
North Carolina - 74%
Tennessee - 77%
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-68484514

Once again Biden's margin is larger than ex-PINO's Not as many voted in the Dem primary - typically a bad sign, but may only reflect that the GQP ballot was more interesting

NC is supposedly purple in 2024 with Biden actively targeting it.
Cool!

Guessing cross voters such as yourself account for a lower turnout.
Technically there is no "cross" voting here. If you're a registered Dem you have to vote in the Dem primary. However, there are a large number of 'unaffiliated' here and probably around half or more lean left. We, along with Dems who stayed home, very well may explain the discrepancy.

[Vrede too]

I can't stand Nikki Heat's policies, but I am happy an Asian woman got as far as she did in the GQP primaries. Progress?

That would be "no."
Take her exact act, personality, age and background and put it on a white male and if he started early enough in the campaign he'd have had a chance. None of the others in the clown car offered (or even pretended to offer) an attractive Trump alternative.

DeSantis: "I'm just like Trump only more cruel and with stupid issues"
Viviswarmy: "I'm just like Trump except some kind of rich Indian"
Christie: "I'm not like Trump, but I'm obese, obnoxious, and have lost so many elections nobody wants to listen to me."
Uncle Tom Scott: "I'm just like Trump, and love Trump but I'm ummm, Black."
Others: "Don't mind us, we're just here so we can tell our grandkids we ran for President."

[GoCubsGo]

Alaska - 88%! The most in any state

Just over 10,000 Alaskan Republicans bothered to vote.

[Vrede too]

Alabama - 83%! (for ex-PINO)
Alaska - 88%! The most in any state

Just over 10,000 Alaskan Republicans bothered to vote.

, but a little mean to billy.pilgrim