2020 Elections

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Vrede too
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Re: 2020 Elections

Unread post by Vrede too »

Crap, I just got a pro-Trump robocall from the NC Repugs. It's gonna be a long election season, 171 days to go.
"When you can make people believe absurdities, you can make them commit atrocities."
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O Really
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Re: 2020 Elections

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Vrede too wrote:
Sat May 16, 2020 5:24 pm
Crap, I just got a pro-Trump robocall from the NC Repugs. It's gonna be a long election season, 171 days to go.
Oh, I'm sure it will be constant for you. Fortunately, Trump's "Death Star" campaign has apparently deemed California a cause lost from the start, and we're getting no ads at all.

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neoplacebo
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Re: 2020 Elections

Unread post by neoplacebo »

OBAMAGATE! It's what's for dinner. And it's what the childish moron has as his current tweet. Looks like Obamagate is the new mantra for the cult of lies and ignorance. Hilarious.

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Vrede too
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Re: 2020 Elections

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O Really wrote:
Sat May 16, 2020 5:33 pm
Oh, I'm sure it will be constant for you. Fortunately, Trump's "Death Star" campaign has apparently deemed California a cause lost from the start, and we're getting no ads at all.
But it's May!!!! I just called and left a message telling them to never do it again or I would vote against all Repugs in Nov. We'll see. I'm sure I'll get the down ballot calls still, but hopefully not until the Fall.

The call I got was about his "closing" (not really) the country to China. They're probably trying to stop the bleeding from his CV-19 failure. If they only knew about:
viewtopic.php?f=14&t=4086
:lol:
"When you can make people believe absurdities, you can make them commit atrocities."
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Vrede too
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Re: 2020 Elections

Unread post by Vrede too »

O Really wrote:
Sat May 16, 2020 5:33 pm
Vrede too wrote:
Sat May 16, 2020 5:24 pm
Crap, I just got a pro-Trump robocall from the NC Repugs. It's gonna be a long election season, 171 days to go.
Oh, I'm sure it will be constant for you. Fortunately, Trump's "Death Star" campaign has apparently deemed California a cause lost from the start, and we're getting no ads at all.
You jinxed me :x :!: i just saw my first PINO campaign TV ad . . . in May!

Maybe I'll go out in public, get sick and die.
"When you can make people believe absurdities, you can make them commit atrocities."
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neoplacebo
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Re: 2020 Elections

Unread post by neoplacebo »

I've seen two in the past ten days or so. Pretty much what I expected....lying, whining, bragging, and delusional nonsense.

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O Really
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Re: 2020 Elections

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Don't you people have mute buttons?
It's pretty satisfying if you've got voice control. Trump or some flunky comes on and you can just say "mute" and zap, they shut up. I'm looking for a setting option that you can actually use "shut up" as the command for mute. :lol:

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Vrede too
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Re: 2020 Elections

Unread post by Vrede too »

O Really wrote:
Sun May 17, 2020 10:17 pm
Don't you people have mute buttons?
It's pretty satisfying if you've got voice control. Trump or some flunky comes on and you can just say "mute" and zap, they shut up. I'm looking for a setting option that you can actually use "shut up" as the command for mute. :lol:
"Fuck off" would be a good one, too. I usually surf during ads, but I was at the computer and only semi paying attention to the TV until I realized the May horror that had come on.
"When you can make people believe absurdities, you can make them commit atrocities."
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Vrede too
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Re: 2020 Elections

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New polls show trouble for Trump and Republicans in GOP strongholds

If Arizona, Georgia or Texas is still in play in the Fall, Biden has won and the Senate is blue.
"When you can make people believe absurdities, you can make them commit atrocities."
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Vrede too
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Re: 2020 Elections

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Trump tells Fox News to 'fire their Fake Pollster' after network reports him 8 points behind Biden

… According to the latest Fox News poll released Thursday, Biden leads Trump 48 percent to 40 percent among registered voters. The same survey last month had Biden and Trump tied at 42 percent. The poll also found that more voters trust Biden (46 percent) than Trump (37 percent) to handle the coronavirus.

In a follow-up tweet, Trump wondered why his off-and-on favorite cable news network did not highlight polls that were more favorable for him, and mused about missing the network’s former president, the late Roger Ailes….
Comment:
Trump checking the latest Fox News Poll

Click play.
"When you can make people believe absurdities, you can make them commit atrocities."
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Ulysses
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Trump Is Brazenly Interfering With the 2020 Election

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Trump Is Brazenly Interfering With the 2020 Election

Just when we thought he couldn't get any more disgusting...
Imagine that the White House chief of staff wrote a secret memo, at the behest of the president of the United States, to the Treasury secretary and the director of the Office of Management and Budget. In the carefully hidden memo, the chief of staff directs the two to secretly and illegally cut off all federal funding to two key swing states, both led by Democratic governors, with the goal of rigging turnout in favor of the president’s party in the 2020 election.

Now imagine that the memo leaked to The Wall Street Journal, which splashed the story across its front page. The other major papers would quickly follow. Cable news would cover it wall to wall. There would be congressional investigations.

Now imagine that instead of conducting all this skulduggery in private, the president just openly tweeted it out. Actually, you don’t have to imagine it. You can just surf over to Donald Trump’s Twitter feed this morning...

As my colleague Jeffrey Goldberg has noted, Trump runs the executive branch with a Mafia mentality, and is careful to never be too explicit, even when his intentions are clear. Consider again the impeachment. Ambassador Gordon Sondland clearly understood Trump to demand that Ukraine announce an investigation into the Bidens as part of a quid pro quo, but Trump countered that he never told Sondland it was a “quid pro quo.” Trump’s treatment of officials in the aftermath of his impeachment also demonstrated to appointees that those who follow the law but buck Trump’s whims are vulnerable to public attack and ouster, while those who break the law but indulge the president will be rewarded and protected.

This morning’s tweets are, it is true, just more wild rambling from the president. That doesn’t mean they can’t also be a grave threat to the integrity of the 2020 election.
Buh-Bye, President Plump...

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Ulysses
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Latest Electoral-Vote Prediction

Unread post by Ulysses »

Looking better all the time, but don't give up the fight!

Image

Predicted tally: Biden 350, Trump 188
Buh-Bye, President Plump...

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Vrede too
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Re: Latest Electoral-Vote Prediction

Unread post by Vrede too »

Ulysses wrote:
Sat May 23, 2020 12:28 pm
Looking better all the time, but don't give up the fight!

Image

Predicted tally: Biden 350, Trump 188
Thanks.
Dark = Strongly
Light = Likely
Bordered = Barely
Hooray for the Barely Bidens: NC, FL, GA, MN & NV
https://electoral-vote.com/

A different website, not as positive but still good:
Biden 232, PINO 204, Tossup (NC, FL, PA, etc.) 102

Image
https://www.270towin.com/
"When you can make people believe absurdities, you can make them commit atrocities."
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PeacefulPartier
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Re: Latest Electoral-Vote Prediction

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Ulysses wrote:
Sat May 23, 2020 12:28 pm
Looking better all the time, but don't give up the fight!

Image

Predicted tally: Biden 350, Trump 188
LMAO! What wet dream fantasy makes Texas a barely Trump state and Georgia a barely Biden state? Trump will win each state by 20 points or more. You can lock that in. I wouldn't be surprised if Trump won PA by greater than 5 points too. I do get the prediction for it to go Biden. That is at least reasonable. But TX and GA...huh uh. Ain't happening.

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GoCubsGo
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Re: Latest Electoral-Vote Prediction

Unread post by GoCubsGo »

PeacefulPartier wrote:
Sat May 23, 2020 10:28 pm
Ulysses wrote:
Sat May 23, 2020 12:28 pm
Looking better all the time, but don't give up the fight!

Image

Predicted tally: Biden 350, Trump 188
LMAO! What wet dream fantasy makes Texas a barely Trump state and Georgia a barely Biden state? Trump will win each state by 20 points or more. You can lock that in. I wouldn't be surprised if Trump won PA by greater than 5 points too. I do get the prediction for it to go Biden. That is at least reasonable. But TX and GA...huh uh. Ain't happening.
Texas is in the margin doofus.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... texas.html
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O Really
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Re: 2020 Elections

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I doubt that either Texas or Georgia will turn blue this year, but every poll by every source shows it way closer than the rose-tint view PP has. I also think you can probably paint Michigan a darker blue after Trump's latest pillaging of the state and trashing of Ford, arguably Michigan's "state company" (like "state flower", etc., not state-owned). So far, Trump has just kept on making things worse for the country and for his re-election chances. Lots can happen in 5 and a half months, but it would be interesting for a fan such as PP to let us know what they expect Trump to do differently to stem or reverse the tide.

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Vrede too
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Re: Latest Electoral-Vote Prediction

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GoCubsGo wrote:
Sat May 23, 2020 11:49 pm
Texas is in the margin doofus.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... texas.html
Bad link. Here:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... -6818.html

As you say, the CON RCP Texas Average is just Trump +2.5.

Or, delusional slacker PP could have looked at the link I provided above for the map:
https://electoral-vote.com/
Texas: Trump +4
Georgia: Biden +1
"When you can make people believe absurdities, you can make them commit atrocities."
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Ulysses
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Re: Latest Electoral-Vote Prediction

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PeacefulPartier wrote:
Sat May 23, 2020 10:28 pm
Ulysses wrote:
Sat May 23, 2020 12:28 pm
Looking better all the time, but don't give up the fight!

Image

Predicted tally: Biden 350, Trump 188
LMAO! What wet dream fantasy makes Texas a barely Trump state and Georgia a barely Biden state? Trump will win each state by 20 points or more. You can lock that in. I wouldn't be surprised if Trump won PA by greater than 5 points too. I do get the prediction for it to go Biden. That is at least reasonable. But TX and GA...huh uh. Ain't happening.
If you had bothered to visit electoral-vote.com, you'd know that their predictions are based strictly on polls. They acknowledge that polls, especially months before an election, can change. However the polls for Pennsylania seem rather consistent so far with a Biden win:

Image

By contrast, Trump's "lead" in Texas is a lot more narrow and shaky:

Image

And, a description of how Electoral-vote.com uses polls:

https://electoral-vote.com/evp2020/Info ... g-faq.html
Last edited by Ulysses on Sun May 24, 2020 12:39 am, edited 1 time in total.
Buh-Bye, President Plump...

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GoCubsGo
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Re: Latest Electoral-Vote Prediction

Unread post by GoCubsGo »

Vrede too wrote:
Sun May 24, 2020 12:08 am
GoCubsGo wrote:
Sat May 23, 2020 11:49 pm
Texas is in the margin doofus.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... texas.html
Bad link. Here:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... -6818.html

As you say, the CON RCP Texas Average is just Trump +2.5.

Or, delusional slacker PP could have looked at the link I provided above for the map:
https://electoral-vote.com/
Texas: Trump +4
Georgia: Biden +1
Trumpaloons should be nervous, especially when you look at past Texas results.
Texas: Trump vs. Biden
2016: Trump +9.0 | 2012: Romney +15.8 | 2008: McCain +11.8

Even better, look at all the other swing state numbers, if they hold...huuuuge blowout.

Florida: Trump vs. Biden
2016: Trump +1.2 | 2012: Obama +0.9 | 2008: Obama +2.8

National | Wisconsin | Florida | Michigan | Pennsylvania | North Carolina | Arizona | Minnesota

Polling Data
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PeacefulPartier
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Re: 2020 Elections

Unread post by PeacefulPartier »

Texas and Georgia won't even be close. Any poll that shows other wise is a joke. Any one that believes they are is delusional.

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