Single hurricane thread

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Vrede too
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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Tropical Storm Isaias likely to form in Atlantic; warnings issued for Puerto Rico, US Virgin Islands

... On the forecast track, the system is expected to move through the Leeward Islands on Wednesday, near or over the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Wednesday night and near or over Hispaniola on Thursday, the hurricane center said.
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... Although it could affect Florida later in the week, its track and intensity forecast remain highly uncertain: "It cannot be stressed enough that since the system is still in the formative stage, greater than average uncertainty exists regarding both the short-term and longer-term track and intensity forecasts," the hurricane center said....

If it gets a name, it would become Tropical Storm Isaias, the ninth named storm of the season. The current record for earliest 'I' named storm in the Atlantic basin is Irene on Aug. 7, 2005, according to Colorado State University meteorologist Phil Klotzbach.

It has been an early and active start to the 2020 Atlantic basin tropical season, so much so that five of the first eight named storms this season are new record holders for the earliest-named storm for their letter, AccuWeather said.

Gonzalo and Hanna became the earliest G- and H-named storms on record in the Atlantic basin when they reached tropical storm strength last week. Hanna ultimately became a hurricane, the first in the Atlantic basin this season, and made landfall in Southern Texas on Saturday evening, AccuWeather said.
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neoplacebo
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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I hope Puerto Rico is skirted......don't think I can stand to see trump throw a few rolls of paper towels, insult the mayor of San Juan with juvenile nonsense, and tell the governor and his staff how "not so bad" it all is.

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Re: Single hurricane thread

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neoplacebo wrote:
Tue Jul 28, 2020 3:47 pm
I hope Puerto Rico is skirted......don't think I can stand to see trump throw a few rolls of paper towels, insult the mayor of San Juan with juvenile nonsense, and tell the governor and his staff how "not so bad" it all is.
Tropical Storm Isaias
(Maps)

Article

Puerto Rico, British and U.S. Virgin Islands: lashed but no direct hit.
Dominican Republic and northern Haiti: direct hit later today.
Looking a little better for FL.
SC, NC and DC/MD could be hit.
Not predicted to go above TS, but it seems that we've seen many grow beyond predictions like Hanna did just last week.
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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Still off FL, SC, NC and DC/MD, but now will be a Cat 1 hurricane. Guess on Cat by the time it reaches FL? Mine:
Spoiler:
3
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billy.pilgrim
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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2 when it hits DC

But really, my guess is - Fish storm - they are always a favorite.
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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Prediction now:
FL Cat 1, possible landfall
TS landfall/s from SC to Mass, then again in New Brunswick
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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Vrede too wrote:
Thu Jul 30, 2020 2:32 pm
Tropical Storm Isaias
(Maps)
Slight shift west, gonna rake the entire coast. Poor eastern NC, it's gotten battered these last few years.
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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Looks like it will be a Cat 1 again when it makes landfall near the NC/SC border. If I lived in eastern NC and was mobile, I would seriously consider moving. Fortunately, it doesn't look like it will linger the way other storms have.
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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Vrede too wrote:
Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:00 am
Looks like it will be a Cat 1 again when it makes landfall near the NC/SC border. If I lived in eastern NC and was mobile, I would seriously consider moving. Fortunately, it doesn't look like it will linger the way other storms have.
Hurricane alley because of the Gulf Stream. People who live there accept the risk.
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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GoCubsGo wrote:
Mon Aug 03, 2020 11:10 am
Hurricane alley because of the Gulf Stream. People who live there accept the risk.
Seems to me that it's been much worse than usual for ENC and with flooding further inland these past 5 years or so, but maybe not. Whatever, landfall this evening, VA by morning, then still a TS all the way through ME.
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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Vrede too wrote:
Mon Aug 03, 2020 1:07 pm
GoCubsGo wrote:
Mon Aug 03, 2020 11:10 am
Hurricane alley because of the Gulf Stream. People who live there accept the risk.
Seems to me that it's been much worse than usual for ENC and with flooding further inland these past 5 years or so, but maybe not. Whatever, landfall this evening, VA by morning, then still a TS all the way through ME.
Recency bias? There has been a bunch.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of ... hurricanes
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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GoCubsGo wrote:
Mon Aug 03, 2020 1:18 pm
Recency bias? There has been a bunch.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of ... hurricanes
Maybe a bit, but Matthew 2016, Florence 2018 and Dorian 2019 were rainfall whoppers. Interesting that your link shows a frequency increase since 1980.
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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Bad enough, coulda been worse. STILL a TS in NY! Might be the furthest north TS and then TD ever.
https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/ ... orm-isaias
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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GoCubsGo wrote:
Mon Aug 03, 2020 11:10 am
Vrede too wrote:
Mon Aug 03, 2020 10:00 am
Looks like it will be a Cat 1 again when it makes landfall near the NC/SC border. If I lived in eastern NC and was mobile, I would seriously consider moving. Fortunately, it doesn't look like it will linger the way other storms have.
Hurricane alley because of the Gulf Stream. People who live there accept the risk.
The GS feeds them, but I don't think it steers, that's more due to other weather systems.
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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Vrede too wrote:
Tue Aug 04, 2020 5:06 pm
Bad enough, coulda been worse. STILL a TS in NY! Might be the furthest north TS and then TD ever.
https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/ ... orm-isaias
Not sure who you are hearing that from, but I believe there have been several TSs and maybe a hurricane in Newfoundland, Ireland and Greenland.

Edit: wow - Faith in 66 was still a cat 1 hurricane as it neared the Faroe Islands.
Last edited by billy.pilgrim on Tue Aug 04, 2020 6:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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billy.pilgrim wrote:
Tue Aug 04, 2020 6:07 pm
Not sure who you are hearing that from, but I believe there have been several TSs and maybe a hurricane in Newfoundland, Ireland and Greenland.
I wondered. TV news, but maybe they meant North America or I missed hearing a qualifier.
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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Vrede too wrote:
Tue Aug 04, 2020 6:12 pm
billy.pilgrim wrote:
Tue Aug 04, 2020 6:07 pm
Not sure who you are hearing that from, but I believe there have been several TSs and maybe a hurricane in Newfoundland, Ireland and Greenland.
I wondered. TV news, but maybe they meant North America or I missed hearing a qualifier.
Or it was the same reporter who said we haven't had a splashdown since 1945.

I just looked, there have been numerous TSs into Maine and Canada.

Check out Faith in 66
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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billy.pilgrim wrote:
Tue Aug 04, 2020 6:16 pm
Or it was the same reporter who said we haven't had a splashdown since 1945.

I just looked, there have been numerous TSs into Maine and Canada.

Check out Faith in 66
I'm not finding any tropical systems that went farther north in Quebec and Labrador, as opposed to offshore like Faith, but I didn't search hard.
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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Vrede too wrote:
Tue Aug 04, 2020 6:20 pm
billy.pilgrim wrote:
Tue Aug 04, 2020 6:16 pm
Or it was the same reporter who said we haven't had a splashdown since 1945.

I just looked, there have been numerous TSs into Maine and Canada.

Check out Faith in 66
I'm not finding any tropical systems that went farther north in Quebec and Labrador, as opposed to offshore like Faith, but I didn't search hard.

Could all hinge on the word, or 3

Tropical, subtropical, extratropical

https://www.weather.gov/source/zhu/ZHU_ ... cipitation.


The Canadian Hurricane Center has a lot of archive info but it's difficult to use to answer how far north. I found 2 that track out the northern tip of Maine, but can't make-out the legend - they could be Depressions.

Same for Google. You can't look up TSs records for the furthest north. All you get is Faith.
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Re: Single hurricane thread

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billy.pilgrim wrote:
Tue Aug 04, 2020 6:54 pm
Could all hinge on the word, or 3

Tropical, subtropical, extratropical

https://www.weather.gov/source/zhu/ZHU_ ... cipitation.

The Canadian Hurricane Center has a lot of archive info but it's difficult to use to answer how far north. I found 2 that track out the northern tip of Maine, but can't make-out the legend - they could be Depressions.

Same for Google. You can't look up TSs records for the furthest north. All you get is Faith.
Add in that it may be my flub in what I heard. That's a problem with TV - nothing to quote verbatim.
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